Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BCH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-01-25 389.257338 440.992467 498.083402 565.934372 644.601675 733.205703 840.932473
2026-02-01 317.779266 387.673268 471.651613 580.730398 719.745346 892.428429 1125.414064
2026-02-08 272.141410 348.496893 445.549505 579.396732 761.446492 1003.682604 1355.901768
2026-02-15 238.316452 317.087162 421.788056 573.328818 790.705712 1096.939059 1571.281814
2026-02-22 215.811215 296.753237 408.584172 577.436584 831.338306 1207.839036 1825.652839
2026-03-01 193.901854 274.156006 388.744843 568.162255 849.221924 1285.187515 2038.300346
2026-03-08 177.097126 256.771433 373.977727 563.697237 872.348792 1371.668103 2277.172354
2026-03-15 158.720921 235.063878 350.245485 542.058717 864.449813 1405.416316 2429.304573
2026-03-22 151.814320 230.036640 351.326897 559.664919 922.596136 1556.796673 2816.159039
2026-03-29 146.666788 227.148099 355.260581 582.006530 991.044501 1734.943375 3284.529505
2026-04-05 137.923287 217.618080 347.355853 582.971904 1021.081115 1846.191252 3639.285656
2026-04-12 127.599562 204.590656 332.386612 569.749295 1022.998037 1903.431768 3890.554842
2026-04-19 118.392930 192.886161 318.955562 558.447261 1028.199764 1969.843376 4179.332921
2026-04-26 114.169618 189.381989 319.485537 573.051926 1085.922176 2151.981052 4769.352033
2026-05-03 107.949649 181.854068 312.130504 571.736484 1111.095372 2268.602953 5227.443607
2026-05-10 101.659262 173.702159 302.920321 565.760545 1125.635783 2363.688564 5651.556673
2026-05-17 97.267676 168.642742 298.978425 569.806135 1161.930422 2513.203814 6250.322409
2026-05-24 91.585276 160.783738 289.099974 560.672077 1167.978436 2592.503232 6675.466563
2026-05-31 86.942828 154.545300 281.842271 556.274471 1184.134302 2698.604284 7201.445481
2026-06-07 80.742000 144.937329 267.293448 534.961538 1158.576096 2696.878585 7408.116939
2026-06-14 79.237066 144.266503 270.409828 552.302967 1226.759134 2946.286005 8449.703667
2026-06-21 78.254904 144.534375 275.413251 574.306842 1309.214140 3247.883824 9745.141880
2026-06-28 75.234734 140.541698 271.336949 575.257580 1339.064084 3410.312190 10618.039952